Cancun FC 2-0 Tepatitlán de Morelos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.53
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
26%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.8
Over 2.5
39%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.99
No
62%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
61%
-11.3pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.8pp
26%
Away Win
16%
+10.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
52%
+9.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
48%
-9.6pp
38%
BTTS Yes
46%
-7.9pp
62%
BTTS No
54%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cancun FC EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Tepatitlán de Morelos EU Bookmakers 19%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.74/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.74
-4% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
340 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cancun FC
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Tepatitlán de Morelos
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
4 Corners 5
20.03.2024 Cancun FC Cancun FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2
31.08.2023 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 3-0 HT 1-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
22.03.2023 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 1-0 HT 0-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
12.10.2022 Cancun FC Cancun FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2
09.02.2022 Cancun FC Cancun FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2
17.09.2021 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 1-2 HT 1-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
POST-MATCH Cancun FC vs Tepatitlán de Morelos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cancun FC saw off Tepatitlán de Morelos 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cancun FC as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cancun FC and 1.33 for Tepatitlán de Morelos.

What was the final score of Cancun FC vs Tepatitlán de Morelos?

Cancun FC 2-0 Tepatitlán de Morelos in the Mexico - Primera A on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cancun FC vs Tepatitlán de Morelos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cancun FC win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Cancun FC 50%, draw 24%, Tepatitlán de Morelos 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cancun FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cancun FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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