Manisa FK 0-1 İstanbulspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
31%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.15
Over 2.5
49%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.55
No
49%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
4.26
2-3 Goals
40%
1.89
4-5 Goals
24%
3.04
6+ Goals
9%
9.33
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.26 — our 27% vs market 18.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.46
1/2
5%
26.0
1/X
10%
12.1
X/1
15%
5.8
X/2
12%
6.17
X/X
13%
5.11
2/1
7%
24.7
2/2
14%
3.8
2/X
4%
12.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
39%
+2.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
31%
Away Win
34%
-3.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
43%
+8.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
57%
-8.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.3pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manisa FK EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY İstanbulspor EU Bookmakers 38%
-7% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -20%
1.38/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.14
-25% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -28%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
306 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 77%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.5
16.8 Crosses 19.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manisa FK
1W-0D-2L
AWAY İstanbulspor
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.94 xG 1.76
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
356 Passes 347
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 13
16 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 1
10.08.2024 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 3-2 HT 2-1 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L
09.01.2022 Manisa FK Manisa FK 1-2 HT 1-1 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor T1L
14.08.2021 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 3-4 HT 1-2 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manisa FK
0-1
AWAY İstanbulspor
0.63 xG 1.88
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 8
316 Passes 327
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
27 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Manisa FK vs İstanbulspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İstanbulspor nicked a narrow win over Manisa FK 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Manisa FK at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Manisa FK had 49% of the ball to İstanbulspor's 51%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 0.63 to 1.88 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold İstanbulspor's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, İstanbulspor led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Manisa FK and 2.67 for İstanbulspor.

What was the final score of Manisa FK vs İstanbulspor?

Manisa FK 0-1 İstanbulspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manisa FK vs İstanbulspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manisa FK win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Manisa FK 42%, draw 28%, İstanbulspor 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Manisa FK), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Manisa FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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