Keçiörengücü 2-3 Sakaryaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 19 Jan 2025

Keçiörengücü
2-3 HT 1-2
Sakaryaspor
📅19/01/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Turkey - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Keçiörengücü vs Sakaryaspor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.18
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.27
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
24%
3.66
6+ Goals
8%
14.85
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.66 — our 24% vs market 22.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.13
1/2
5%
32.5
1/X
9%
12.8
X/1
14%
5.07
X/2
11%
6.56
X/X
13%
4.55
2/1
8%
26.0
2/2
15%
4.68
2/X
10%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-5.0pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.7pp
31%
Away Win
31%
+0.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.4pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Keçiörengücü v Sakaryaspor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Keçiörengücü EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Sakaryaspor EU Bookmakers 34%
+6% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +16%
1.17/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.66
+25% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
313 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 76%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
17.3 Crosses 16.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.5

Keçiörengücü vs Sakaryaspor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Keçiörengücü
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Sakaryaspor
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.13 xG 1.27
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
292 Passes 373
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.08.2024 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 1-1 HT 0-0 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü T1L
21.04.2024 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 2-1 HT 2-0 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü T1L
02.12.2023 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 1-3 HT 1-1 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor T1L
05.02.2023 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 2-0 HT 1-0 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü T1L
04.09.2022 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 2-1 HT 0-0 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor T1L
20.01.2019 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 2-2 HT 2-1 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü S2-B

Keçiörengücü 2-3 Sakaryaspor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Keçiörengücü
2-3
AWAY Sakaryaspor
2.25 xG 1.74
56% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
260 Passes 182
73% Pass Accuracy 64%
29 Box Touches 13
25 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Keçiörengücü vs Sakaryaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sakaryaspor nicked a narrow win over Keçiörengücü 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 32% / 31%) promised a tight game; Sakaryaspor found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Keçiörengücü had 56% of the ball to Sakaryaspor's 44%, shots finished 20-13, expected goals 2.25 to 1.74 — on chances, Keçiörengücü could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sakaryaspor led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Keçiörengücü and 1.83 for Sakaryaspor.

What was the final score of Keçiörengücü vs Sakaryaspor?

Keçiörengücü 2-3 Sakaryaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Keçiörengücü vs Sakaryaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Keçiörengücü win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Keçiörengücü 37%, draw 32%, Sakaryaspor 31%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Keçiörengücü) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Keçiörengücü) ✓ BTTS Yes
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