Bucaspor 1928 3-2 Erbaaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.89
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
31%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.62
Over 2.5
34%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.03
No
64%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
49%
-9.7pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.4pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+6.3pp
66%
Under 2.5
58%
+7.7pp
34%
Over 2.5
42%
-7.7pp
36%
BTTS Yes
45%
-8.8pp
64%
BTTS No
55%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bucaspor 1928 EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Erbaaspor EU Bookmakers 28%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +57% / +57%
1.42/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
+5% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% /
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
356 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bucaspor 1928
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Erbaaspor
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
5 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 4
01.09.2024 Erbaaspor Erbaaspor 1-2 HT 0-0 Bucaspor 1928 Bucaspor 1928 T2L-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bucaspor 1928
3-2
AWAY Erbaaspor
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bucaspor 1928 vs Erbaaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bucaspor 1928 edged past Erbaaspor 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 31% — and on the day Bucaspor 1928 made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bucaspor 1928 had 56% of the ball to Erbaaspor's 44%, shots finished 16-10.

What was the final score of Bucaspor 1928 vs Erbaaspor?

Bucaspor 1928 3-2 Erbaaspor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bucaspor 1928 vs Erbaaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bucaspor 1928 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Bucaspor 1928 39%, draw 30%, Erbaaspor 31%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bucaspor 1928) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bucaspor 1928) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
T2L-K More Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup
19 Jan 2025
14:00 Karaman Futbol Kulübü vs Elazığspor Analysis →
14:00 Karacabey Belediye Spor vs Arnavutköy Belediye Analysis →
14:00 Diyarbekir Spor vs Somaspor Analysis →
14:00 Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu vs Menemen FK Analysis →
14:00 Güzide Gebze Spor Kulübü vs Van Spor FK Analysis →