Karacabey Belediye Spor 3-4 Arnavutköy Belediye — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
39%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.82
No
57%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-1.7pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.4pp
39%
Away Win
35%
+4.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.3pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karacabey Belediye Spor EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Arnavutköy Belediye EU Bookmakers 38%
-43% / -43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
0.34/2.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.78
-69% / -56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +26%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
338 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karacabey Belediye Spor
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Arnavutköy Belediye
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.09.2024 Arnavutköy Belediye Arnavutköy Belediye 1-1 HT 0-0 Karacabey Belediye Spor Karacabey Belediye Spor T2L-K
POST-MATCH Karacabey Belediye Spor vs Arnavutköy Belediye
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arnavutköy Belediye nicked a narrow win over Karacabey Belediye Spor 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 2-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 39% — and on the day Arnavutköy Belediye made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Karacabey Belediye Spor vs Arnavutköy Belediye?

Karacabey Belediye Spor 3-4 Arnavutköy Belediye in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karacabey Belediye Spor vs Arnavutköy Belediye?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arnavutköy Belediye win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Karacabey Belediye Spor 35%, draw 26%, Arnavutköy Belediye 39%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arnavutköy Belediye) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arnavutköy Belediye) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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