Monterrey vs Toluca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Monterrey v Toluca — Team-Based Signals
Monterrey vs Toluca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Monterrey
MEK
2-1
HT 2-0
Toluca
MEK
1-1
HT 1-0
Monterrey
MEK
2-2
HT 1-2
Monterrey
MEK
2-0
HT 1-0
Toluca
MEK
1-2
HT 0-0
Monterrey
MEK
Monterrey 0-0 Toluca — Actual Match Statistics
Monterrey and Toluca played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.
Our pre-match lean was Monterrey at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Monterrey had 58% of the ball to Toluca's 42%, shots finished 12-4, expected goals 1.70 to 0.17.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monterrey had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Monterrey and 1.00 for Toluca.
What was the final score of Monterrey vs Toluca?
Monterrey 0-0 Toluca in the Mexico - Primera on 19/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Monterrey vs Toluca?
Before kick-off our model rated a Monterrey win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Monterrey 50%, draw 26%, Toluca 24%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.