Monterrey vs Toluca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Monterrey v Toluca — Team-Based Signals
Monterrey vs Toluca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Monterrey 0-0 Toluca — Actual Match Statistics
Monterrey and Toluca played out a goalless draw. Chances came and went, but the finishing never arrived.
This one beat our numbers. Monterrey carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (58%) never looked like landing.
Under the surface, Monterrey had 58% of the ball to Toluca's 42%, shots finished 12-4, expected goals 1.70 to 0.17.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monterrey had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Monterrey and 1.00 for Toluca.
Monterrey vs Toluca Result & Final Score
Monterrey 0 - 0 Toluca in the Mexico - Primera on 19/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Monterrey vs Toluca Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Monterrey win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Monterrey 58%, draw 23%, Toluca 19%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.