Pumas UNAM 3-0 Santos Laguna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 19 Feb 2024

Pumas UNAM
3-0 HT 2-0
Santos Laguna
📅19/02/2024 · 🕒03:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Mexico - Primera – 2023/2024

Pumas UNAM vs Santos Laguna Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.75
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
3.18
6+ Goals
11%
10.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.75 — our 25% vs market 21.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
57%
-5.0pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.5pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+4.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.9pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Pumas UNAM v Santos Laguna — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pumas UNAM EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Santos Laguna EU Bookmakers 22%
+1% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -23%
1.83/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.73
+22% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -19%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
338 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 76%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
20.3 Crosses 15.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0

Pumas UNAM vs Santos Laguna Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pumas UNAM
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Santos Laguna
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.38 xG 2.18
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 5
320 Passes 202
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
21 Box Touches 26
23 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.09.2023 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 2-1 HT 2-1 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
15.01.2023 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 3-0 HT 1-0 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
21.08.2022 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM 1-5 HT 0-3 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
03.03.2022 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 3-2 HT 1-1 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
05.11.2021 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM 0-3 HT 0-1 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
05.03.2021 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM 1-0 HT 0-0 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK

Pumas UNAM 3-0 Santos Laguna — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pumas UNAM
3-0
AWAY Santos Laguna
2.20 xG 0.25
49% Ball Possession 51%
23 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 5
348 Passes 376
84% Pass Accuracy 86%
25 Box Touches 4
21 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Pumas UNAM vs Santos Laguna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pumas UNAM ran out comfortable winners over Santos Laguna 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Pumas UNAM as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Pumas UNAM had 49% of the ball to Santos Laguna's 51%, shots finished 23-8, expected goals 2.20 to 0.25.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santos Laguna led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Pumas UNAM and 2.67 for Santos Laguna.

What was the final score of Pumas UNAM vs Santos Laguna?

Pumas UNAM 3-0 Santos Laguna in the Mexico - Primera on 19/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pumas UNAM vs Santos Laguna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pumas UNAM win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Pumas UNAM 52%, draw 24%, Santos Laguna 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pumas UNAM), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pumas UNAM) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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