Aston Villa 2-2 Liverpool — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 19 Feb 2025

Aston Villa
2-2 HT 2-1
Liverpool
📅19/02/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✓
England - Premier League – 2024/2025

Aston Villa vs Liverpool Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.32
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
49%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.45
2-3 Goals
37%
1.88
4-5 Goals
26%
2.78
6+ Goals
14%
7.72
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.48
1/2
7%
20.9
1/X
8%
13.6
X/1
10%
8.04
X/2
13%
4.81
X/X
8%
5.67
2/1
7%
32.5
2/2
29%
2.48
2/X
7%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+1.0pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.5pp
49%
Away Win
49%
+0.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.1pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aston Villa v Liverpool — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aston Villa EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Liverpool EU Bookmakers 53%
+1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +3%
1.30/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/1.56
+14% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -22%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
310 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 427 · 82%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.8
16.2 Crosses 16.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8

Aston Villa vs Liverpool Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aston Villa
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Liverpool
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.59 xG 1.92
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
293 Passes 497
79% Pass Accuracy 86%
25 Box Touches 36
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
09.11.2024 Liverpool Liverpool 2-0 HT 1-0 Aston Villa Aston Villa İNP
13.05.2024 Aston Villa Aston Villa 3-3 HT 1-2 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
03.09.2023 Liverpool Liverpool 3-0 HT 2-0 Aston Villa Aston Villa İNP
20.05.2023 Liverpool Liverpool 1-1 HT 0-1 Aston Villa Aston Villa İNP
26.12.2022 Aston Villa Aston Villa 1-3 HT 0-2 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
10.05.2022 Aston Villa Aston Villa 1-2 HT 1-1 Liverpool Liverpool İNP

Aston Villa 2-2 Liverpool — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aston Villa
2-2
AWAY Liverpool
0.65 xG 2.51
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 8
379 Passes 340
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
25 Box Touches 44
19 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Aston Villa vs Liverpool
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aston Villa and Liverpool shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Liverpool at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Aston Villa had 52% of the ball to Liverpool's 48%, shots finished 9-17, expected goals 0.65 to 2.51.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Aston Villa and 2.33 for Liverpool.

What was the final score of Aston Villa vs Liverpool?

Aston Villa 2-2 Liverpool in the England - Premier League on 19/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aston Villa vs Liverpool?

Before kick-off our model rated an Liverpool win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Aston Villa 28%, draw 23%, Liverpool 49%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Liverpool) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Liverpool) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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