Borussia Dortmund 0-0 Sporting CP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 19 Feb 2025

📅19/02/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
23%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
2.15
Over Pick
55%
1.69
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1
21%
4.09
2-3
42%
1.84
4-5
25%
2.91
6+
12%
8.76
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.18
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.55
X/1
13%
4.42
X/2
9%
9.37
X/X
11%
5.66
2/1
11%
21.0
2/2
8%
6.93
2/X
7%
14.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.0 — our 11% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Borussia Dortmund The Market 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting CP The Market 25%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
0.87/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/0.78
-19% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +150%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
404 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 80%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
18.0 Crosses 7.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Borussia Dortmund
4W-0D-1L
AWAY Sporting CP
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
1.23 xG 1.03
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
475 Passes 335
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
27 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
11.02.2025 Sporting CP Sporting CP 0-3 HT 0-0 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund ŞMP
24.11.2021 Sporting CP Sporting CP 3-1 HT 2-0 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund ŞMP
28.09.2021 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 1-0 HT 1-0 Sporting CP Sporting CP ŞMP
02.11.2016 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 1-0 HT 1-0 Sporting CP Sporting CP ŞMP
18.10.2016 Sporting CP Sporting CP 1-2 HT 0-2 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund ŞMP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Borussia Dortmund
0-0
AWAY Sporting CP
1.86 xG 0.44
55% Ball Possession 45%
19 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
543 Passes 439
89% Pass Accuracy 87%
32 Box Touches 10
24 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
REVIEW Borussia Dortmund vs Sporting CP
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Borussia Dortmund and Sporting CP fought out a 0-0 stalemate. A game for the defenders, not the highlight reels.

We leaned Borussia Dortmund at 52% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. For what it's worth, the market was even more convinced — 1.72, about 58% — so the upset beat the price as well as us. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, possession split 55% to 45% in Borussia Dortmund's favour, shots finished 19-7, expected goals 1.86 to 0.44.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Borussia Dortmund had the better of it with 4 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.60 a game for Borussia Dortmund against 0.80 for Sporting CP.

Borussia Dortmund vs Sporting CP Result & Final Score

Borussia Dortmund 0-0 Sporting CP in the Champions League on 19/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Borussia Dortmund vs Sporting CP Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Borussia Dortmund win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Borussia Dortmund 52%, draw 25%, Sporting CP 23%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Borussia Dortmund) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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