Sporting CP 0-3 Borussia Dortmund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 11 Feb 2025

Sporting CP
0-3 HT 0-0
Borussia Dortmund
📅11/02/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Champions League – 2024/2025

Sporting CP vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
31%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
1.8
Over
52%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
1.72
No
45%
2.0
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.07
2-3
41%
1.75
4-5
23%
3.57
6+
11%
14.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.64
1/2 ✗
7%
30.0
1/X
8%
12.6
X/1
16%
5.59
X/2
15%
5.94
X/X
15%
4.39
2/1
6%
28.0
2/2
9%
4.02
2/X
6%
12.65
Value flag · 1/2 at 30.0 — our 7% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Sporting CP v Borussia Dortmund — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting CP The Market 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Borussia Dortmund The Market 37%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
0.83/1.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.68
-16% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
308 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 77%
12.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
10.6 Crosses 11.5
4.2 Yellow Cards 2.1

Sporting CP vs Borussia Dortmund Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting CP
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Borussia Dortmund
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
1.19 xG 0.93
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
322 Passes 480
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.11.2021 Sporting CP Sporting CP 3-1 HT 2-0 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund ŞMP
28.09.2021 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 1-0 HT 1-0 Sporting CP Sporting CP ŞMP
02.11.2016 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 1-0 HT 1-0 Sporting CP Sporting CP ŞMP
18.10.2016 Sporting CP Sporting CP 1-2 HT 0-2 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund ŞMP

Sporting CP 0-3 Borussia Dortmund — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting CP
0-3
AWAY Borussia Dortmund
0.70 xG 1.81
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
386 Passes 458
89% Pass Accuracy 89%
20 Box Touches 32
14 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Sporting CP vs Borussia Dortmund
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Borussia Dortmund overpowered Sporting CP 3-0 away from home. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

A gentle 41% lean on Sporting CP didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

Under the surface, Borussia Dortmund saw more of the ball, 54% to 46%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 0.70 to 1.81.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Borussia Dortmund led the recent series with 3 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Sporting CP against 1.25 for Borussia Dortmund.

Sporting CP vs Borussia Dortmund Result & Final Score

Sporting CP 0-3 Borussia Dortmund in the Champions League on 11/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Sporting CP vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting CP win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sporting CP 41%, draw 28%, Borussia Dortmund 31%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Sporting CP), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting CP) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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