Brest 0-3 PSG — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 11 Feb 2025

Brest
0-3 HT 0-2
PSG
📅11/02/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Champions League – 2024/2025

Brest vs PSG Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
7.18
Draw
20%
4.81
Away Pick
59%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
2.33
Over
51%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
25%
4.57
2-3
39%
1.9
4-5
23%
2.75
6+
13%
7.43
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.57 — our 25% vs market 16.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
14.6
1/2
8%
21.0
1/X
6%
23.4
X/1
5%
17.35
X/2
13%
3.79
X/X
7%
7.73
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
38%
1.53
2/X
7%
20.1
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Brest v PSG — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brest The Market 14%
Head to Head
AWAY PSG The Market 75%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +9%
1.17/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.25/0.75
-23% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +82%
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
272 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 587 · 87%
15.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 35.5
15.1 Crosses 12.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.1

Brest vs PSG Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brest
0W-1D-5L
AWAY PSG
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.93 xG 2.61
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
310 Passes 537
81% Pass Accuracy 89%
16 Box Touches 35
18 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.02.2025 Brest Brest 2-5 HT 0-1 PSG PSG FR1
14.09.2024 PSG PSG 3-1 HT 1-1 Brest Brest FR1
07.02.2024 PSG PSG 3-1 HT 2-0 Brest Brest FRK
28.01.2024 PSG PSG 2-2 HT 2-0 Brest Brest FR1
29.10.2023 Brest Brest 2-3 HT 1-2 PSG PSG FR1
11.03.2023 Brest Brest 1-2 HT 1-1 PSG PSG FR1

Brest 0-3 PSG — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brest
0-3
AWAY PSG
0.96 xG 2.66
38% Ball Possession 62%
16 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 3
266 Passes 523
77% Pass Accuracy 89%
27 Box Touches 28
23 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Brest vs PSG
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

PSG cruised past Brest 3-0 on their travels. Half-time: 0-2.

True to our pre-match read, our model had PSG as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals call finished the job: no to both teams scoring (56%) landed.

On the day, PSG saw more of the ball, 62% to 38%, shots finished 16-16, expected goals 0.96 to 2.66.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSG led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Brest against 3.00 for PSG.

Brest vs PSG Result & Final Score

Brest 0-3 PSG in the Champions League on 11/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Brest vs PSG Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an PSG win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Brest 21%, draw 20%, PSG 59%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSG), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (PSG) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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