Brest 2-5 PSG — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 1 Feb 2025

Brest
2-5 HT 0-1
PSG
📅01/02/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 0-4 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2024/2025

Brest vs PSG Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
6.35
Draw
21%
4.81
Away
57%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.59
Over 2.5
55%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.47
2-3 Goals
40%
2.0
4-5 Goals
26%
2.55
6+ Goals
10%
5.84
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
13.05
1/2
7%
19.35
1/X
8%
21.7
X/1
9%
16.65
X/2
17%
3.95
X/X
7%
8.31
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
33%
1.54
2/X
6%
19.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
12%
+9.3pp
21%
Draw
17%
+3.5pp
57%
Away Win
70%
-12.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
35%
+10.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
65%
-10.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.6pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brest v PSG — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brest EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY PSG EU Bookmakers 75%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +5%
1.25/2.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.28/1.08
+37% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -1%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
280 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 452 · 83%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.6
21.8 Crosses 15.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8

Brest vs PSG Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brest
0W-1D-5L
AWAY PSG
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.96 xG 2.30
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
320 Passes 530
82% Pass Accuracy 89%
16 Box Touches 34
18 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.09.2024 PSG PSG 3-1 HT 1-1 Brest Brest FR1
07.02.2024 PSG PSG 3-1 HT 2-0 Brest Brest FRK
28.01.2024 PSG PSG 2-2 HT 2-0 Brest Brest FR1
29.10.2023 Brest Brest 2-3 HT 1-2 PSG PSG FR1
11.03.2023 Brest Brest 1-2 HT 1-1 PSG PSG FR1
10.09.2022 PSG PSG 1-0 HT 1-0 Brest Brest FR1

Brest 2-5 PSG — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brest
2-5
AWAY PSG
0.87 xG 3.59
34% Ball Possession 66%
14 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
292 Passes 644
79% Pass Accuracy 89%
16 Box Touches 38
14 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Brest vs PSG
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSG swept aside Brest 5-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had PSG as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Brest had 34% of the ball to PSG's 66%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 0.87 to 3.59.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSG led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Brest and 2.33 for PSG.

What was the final score of Brest vs PSG?

Brest 2-5 PSG in the France - Ligue 1 on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brest vs PSG?

Before kick-off our model rated an PSG win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Brest 22%, draw 21%, PSG 57%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSG), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PSG) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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