Lille vs Saint-Etienne Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lille v Saint-Etienne — Team-Based Signals
Lille vs Saint-Etienne Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Saint-Etienne
FR1
1-1
HT 0-1
Lille
FR1
0-0
HT 0-0
Saint-Etienne
FR1
1-1
HT 1-0
Lille
FR1
3-0
HT 1-0
Saint-Etienne
FR1
Lille 4-1 Saint-Etienne — Actual Match Statistics
Lille ran out comfortable winners over Saint-Etienne 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lille as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Lille had 67% of the ball to Saint-Etienne's 33%, shots finished 29-9, expected goals 3.41 to 2.09.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Lille and 0.50 for Saint-Etienne.
What was the final score of Lille vs Saint-Etienne?
Lille 4-1 Saint-Etienne in the France - Ligue 1 on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lille vs Saint-Etienne?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lille win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Lille 57%, draw 23%, Saint-Etienne 20%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lille), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.