Monaco vs Auxerre Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Monaco v Auxerre — Team-Based Signals
Monaco vs Auxerre Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 2-0
Auxerre
FR1
2-3
HT 1-1
Monaco
FR1
0-2
HT 0-2
Monaco
FR2
2-0
HT 1-0
Auxerre
FR2
1-1
HT 1-0
Monaco
FR1
Monaco 4-2 Auxerre — Actual Match Statistics
Monaco got the better of Auxerre 4-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Monaco as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.
On the day, Monaco had 57% of the ball to Auxerre's 43%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 2.62 to 1.48.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monaco had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Monaco and 0.83 for Auxerre.
What was the final score of Monaco vs Auxerre?
Monaco 4-2 Auxerre in the France - Ligue 1 on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Monaco vs Auxerre?
Before kick-off our model rated a Monaco win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Monaco 57%, draw 22%, Auxerre 21%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monaco), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.