Juventus 2-1 PSV Eindhoven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 11 Feb 2025

Juventus
2-1 HT 1-0
PSV Eindhoven
📅11/02/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Champions League – 2024/2025

Juventus vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.86
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
2.03
Over
50%
1.76
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.64
No Pick
52%
2.12
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
27%
3.74
2-3
37%
1.8
4-5
25%
3.08
6+
11%
10.2
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.74 — our 27% vs market 20.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.44
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
12.8
X/1
11%
4.62
X/2
15%
8.36
X/X
9%
5.14
2/1
10%
22.55
2/2
9%
6.12
2/X
6%
13.9
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Juventus v PSV Eindhoven — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventus The Market 54%
Head to Head
AWAY PSV Eindhoven The Market 28%
-5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -14%
1.56/1.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.24
-19% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -11%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
325 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 82%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
15.8 Crosses 15.3
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.8

Juventus vs PSV Eindhoven Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juventus
1W-0D-0L
AWAY PSV Eindhoven
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.92 xG 1.04
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
401 Passes 530
86% Pass Accuracy 88%
24 Box Touches 18
12 Crosses 24
The Meetings
17.09.2024 Juventus Juventus 3-1 HT 2-0 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven ŞMP

Juventus 2-1 PSV Eindhoven — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventus
2-1
AWAY PSV Eindhoven
1.40 xG 0.81
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
341 Passes 374
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
30 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Juventus vs PSV Eindhoven
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Juventus shaded a tight game against PSV Eindhoven 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Juventus as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 50% and both teams to score at 48%, coin-flips both. The market went further still — the BTTS-yes price closed at 1.64, about 61%.

Under the surface, PSV Eindhoven saw more of the ball, 53% to 47%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 1.40 to 0.81.

Juventus vs PSV Eindhoven Result & Final Score

Juventus 2-1 PSV Eindhoven in the Champions League on 11/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Juventus vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Juventus win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Juventus 46%, draw 24%, PSV Eindhoven 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Juventus) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Juventus) ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ŞMP More Champions League
11 Feb 2025
00:00 Manchester City vs Real Madrid Analysis →
20:45 Brest vs PSG Analysis →
23:00 Sporting CP vs Borussia Dortmund Analysis →