Juventus 3-1 PSV Eindhoven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 17 Sep 2024

Juventus
3-1 HT 2-0
PSV Eindhoven
📅17/09/2024 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
Champions League – 2024/2025

Juventus vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
1.86
Over Pick
55%
1.87
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.82
No
47%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
22%
3.27
2-3
43%
1.78
4-5
23%
3.6
6+
12%
14.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.4
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.6
X/1
20%
4.07
X/2
10%
8.3
X/X
11%
4.91
2/1 ✗
9%
24.0
2/2
9%
6.43
2/X
6%
15.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.0 — our 9% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Juventus v PSV Eindhoven — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventus The Market 56%
Head to Head
AWAY PSV Eindhoven The Market 27%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -14%
1.56/2.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.24
-50% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
333 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 82%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
24.7 Crosses 15.3
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.8

Juventus 3-1 PSV Eindhoven — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventus
3-1
AWAY PSV Eindhoven
2.92 xG 1.04
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
401 Passes 530
86% Pass Accuracy 88%
24 Box Touches 18
12 Crosses 24
REVIEW Juventus vs PSV Eindhoven
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Juventus had too much for PSV Eindhoven 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Juventus as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

By the numbers, Juventus had 44% of the ball to PSV Eindhoven's 56%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 2.92 to 1.04.

Juventus vs PSV Eindhoven Result & Final Score

Juventus 3-1 PSV Eindhoven in the Champions League on 17/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Juventus vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Juventus win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Juventus 50%, draw 25%, PSV Eindhoven 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Juventus), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Juventus) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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