Sporting CP vs Lille Prediction — Model Probabilities
Sporting CP v Lille — Team-Based Signals
Sporting CP vs Lille Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Sporting CP 2-0 Lille — Actual Match Statistics
Sporting CP took care of Lille 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sporting CP as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 49% and both teams to score at 48%. At 1.76 (~57%), the over-2.5 price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.
By the numbers, possession split 50% to 50% in Sporting CP's favour, shots finished 18-3, expected goals 1.62 to 0.41.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sporting CP had the better of it with 3 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.00 a game for Sporting CP against 0.33 for Lille.
Sporting CP vs Lille Result & Final Score
Sporting CP 2-0 Lille in the Champions League on 17/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Sporting CP vs Lille Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting CP win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Sporting CP 47%, draw 25%, Lille 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting CP), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.