Real Madrid 3-1 Stuttgart — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 17 Sep 2024

Real Madrid
3-1 HT 0-0
Stuttgart
📅17/09/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Champions League – 2024/2025

Real Madrid vs Stuttgart Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.37
Draw
22%
4.81
Away
25%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
38%
2.96
Over Pick
62%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.59
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1
20%
6.9
2-3
38%
2.18
4-5
27%
2.47
6+
15%
4.91
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1.57
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
19.4
X/1
20%
3.79
X/2
10%
16.3
X/X
7%
8.7
2/1 ✗
10%
18.8
2/2
9%
10.8
2/X
8%
19.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 18.8 — our 10% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Real Madrid v Stuttgart — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Madrid The Market 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Stuttgart The Market 17%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +66% / +66%
2.19/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
-8% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +110% / –
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
448 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
41.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
21.7 Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards –

Real Madrid 3-1 Stuttgart — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Madrid
3-1
AWAY Stuttgart
2.61 xG 1.94
46% Ball Possession 54%
20 Total Shots 17
8 Shots on Target 7
10 Corners 6
373 Passes 454
86% Pass Accuracy 87%
44 Box Touches 27
19 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Real Madrid vs Stuttgart
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Real Madrid saw off Stuttgart 3-1. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Real Madrid as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

By the numbers, Real Madrid had 46% of the ball to Stuttgart's 54%, shots finished 20-17, expected goals 2.61 to 1.94.

Real Madrid vs Stuttgart Result & Final Score

Real Madrid 3-1 Stuttgart in the Champions League on 17/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Real Madrid vs Stuttgart Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Real Madrid 53%, draw 22%, Stuttgart 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Madrid), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Real Madrid) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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