PSV Eindhoven 3-1 Juventus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 19 Feb 2025

📅19/02/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.12
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
2.03
Over Pick
53%
1.76
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.57
No
51%
2.24
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.76
2-3
40%
1.8
4-5
25%
3.06
6+
11%
10.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.04
1/2
9%
29.5
1/X
10%
12.4
X/1
17%
5.22
X/2
11%
6.71
X/X
7%
5.02
2/1
9%
23.85
2/2
9%
4.48
2/X
6%
12.85
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSV Eindhoven The Market 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventus The Market 34%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +20%
1.37/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.79
+50% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / +13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
407 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 82%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
19.4 Crosses 17.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSV Eindhoven
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Juventus
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.93 xG 2.16
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
452 Passes 371
86% Pass Accuracy 86%
20 Box Touches 27
20 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 0
11.02.2025 Juventus Juventus 2-1 HT 1-0 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven ŞMP
17.09.2024 Juventus Juventus 3-1 HT 2-0 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven ŞMP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSV Eindhoven
3-1
AWAY Juventus
3.40 xG 1.76
59% Ball Possession 41%
25 Total Shots 15
10 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
552 Passes 345
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
50 Box Touches 26
26 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW PSV Eindhoven vs Juventus
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

PSV Eindhoven put daylight between themselves and Juventus 3-1. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had PSV Eindhoven as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 53% for over 2.5, 49% on both teams scoring. At 1.57 (~64%), the BTTS-yes price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.

By the numbers, possession split 59% to 41% in PSV Eindhoven's favour, shots finished 25-15, expected goals 3.40 to 1.76.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Juventus led the recent series with 2 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for PSV Eindhoven against 2.50 for Juventus.

PSV Eindhoven vs Juventus Result & Final Score

PSV Eindhoven 3-1 Juventus in the Champions League on 19/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

PSV Eindhoven vs Juventus Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a PSV Eindhoven win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split PSV Eindhoven 48%, draw 23%, Juventus 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSV Eindhoven), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PSV Eindhoven) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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