Tocantinopolis 0-2 Atletico Mineiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 19 Feb 2025

Tocantinopolis
0-2 HT 0-0
Atletico Mineiro
📅19/02/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 0-4 ✗
Brazil - Cup – 2025

Tocantinopolis vs Atletico Mineiro Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
7.78
Draw
23%
4.95
Away
53%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
35%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
11%
+12.9pp
23%
Draw
18%
+5.7pp
53%
Away Win
72%
-18.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.4pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tocantinopolis v Atletico Mineiro — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tocantinopolis EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Mineiro EU Bookmakers 75%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.30/1.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/0.66
+90% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -1%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
230 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
– Crosses 14.1
– Yellow Cards 1.3

Tocantinopolis 0-2 Atletico Mineiro — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tocantinopolis
0-2
AWAY Atletico Mineiro
0.17 xG 3.13
26% Ball Possession 74%
1 Total Shots 24
1 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 11
– Passes 456
76% Pass Accuracy 86%
4 Box Touches 30
4 Crosses 38
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tocantinopolis vs Atletico Mineiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Mineiro saw off Tocantinopolis 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Atletico Mineiro as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Tocantinopolis had 26% of the ball to Atletico Mineiro's 74%, shots finished 1-24, expected goals 0.17 to 3.13.

What was the final score of Tocantinopolis vs Atletico Mineiro?

Tocantinopolis 0-2 Atletico Mineiro in the Brazil - Cup on 19/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tocantinopolis vs Atletico Mineiro?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Mineiro win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Tocantinopolis 23%, draw 23%, Atletico Mineiro 53%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Mineiro), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Mineiro) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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