Uniao Rondonopolis 0-3 Vasco da Gama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 19 Feb 2025

📅19/02/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
7.95
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
59%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.44
No
62%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
37%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
10%
+7.9pp
23%
Draw
19%
+4.3pp
59%
Away Win
71%
-12.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.3pp
38%
BTTS Yes
37%
+1.3pp
62%
BTTS No
63%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uniao Rondonopolis EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Vasco da Gama EU Bookmakers 75%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
0.00/1.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.11/0.40
-100% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +64%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
220 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 447 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.5
Crosses 14.9
Yellow Cards 1.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uniao Rondonopolis
0-3
AWAY Vasco da Gama
0.01 xG 2.75
23% Ball Possession 77%
0 Total Shots 25
0 Shots on Target 11
0 Corners 8
41 Passes 541
55% Pass Accuracy 89%
1 Box Touches 51
0 Crosses 29
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Uniao Rondonopolis vs Vasco da Gama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vasco da Gama cruised past Uniao Rondonopolis 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Vasco da Gama as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (62%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Uniao Rondonopolis had 23% of the ball to Vasco da Gama's 77%, shots finished 0-25, expected goals 0.01 to 2.75.

What was the final score of Uniao Rondonopolis vs Vasco da Gama?

Uniao Rondonopolis 0-3 Vasco da Gama in the Brazil - Cup on 19/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uniao Rondonopolis vs Vasco da Gama?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vasco da Gama win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Uniao Rondonopolis 18%, draw 23%, Vasco da Gama 59%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vasco da Gama), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vasco da Gama) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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