Tuna Luso 1-0 Sampaio Correa FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 19 Feb 2025

📅19/02/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
31%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.56
Over 2.5
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
34%
+9.4pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.9pp
31%
Away Win
37%
-5.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-1.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+1.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.1pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tuna Luso EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Sampaio Correa FC EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +42% / +42%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +88% / +4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
264 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tuna Luso
1-0
AWAY Sampaio Correa FC
45% Ball Possession 55%
20 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 6
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Tuna Luso vs Sampaio Correa FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tuna Luso squeezed past Sampaio Correa FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Tuna Luso as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Tuna Luso had 45% of the ball to Sampaio Correa FC's 55%, shots finished 20-9.

What was the final score of Tuna Luso vs Sampaio Correa FC?

Tuna Luso 1-0 Sampaio Correa FC in the Brazil - Cup on 19/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tuna Luso vs Sampaio Correa FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tuna Luso win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Tuna Luso 43%, draw 25%, Sampaio Correa FC 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tuna Luso), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tuna Luso) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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