Fajr Sepasi 0-1 Sanat Naft — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 19 Feb 2025

📅19/02/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
65%
1.38
Over
35%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
No
63%
Total Goals
0-1
41%
2-3
42%
4-5
12%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
16%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
46%
Home Win
48%
-2.4pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.3pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+5.8pp
65%
Under 2.5
69%
-3.8pp
35%
Over 2.5
31%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fajr Sepasi The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Sanat Naft The Market 25%
+15% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.73/0.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/0.53
+36% / +71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +116%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
336 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fajr Sepasi
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Sanat Naft
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
03.10.2024 Sanat Naft Sanat Naft 1-0 HT 1-0 Fajr Sepasi Fajr Sepasi IRANAZ
18.02.2022 Fajr Sepasi Fajr Sepasi 0-0 HT 0-0 Sanat Naft Sanat Naft IRAN
30.10.2021 Sanat Naft Sanat Naft 0-2 HT 0-1 Fajr Sepasi Fajr Sepasi IRAN
REVIEW Fajr Sepasi vs Sanat Naft
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Sanat Naft squeezed past Fajr Sepasi 1-0 on their travels. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

A gentle 46% lean on Fajr Sepasi didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. The market had leaned harder still (1.90, ~53%); nobody's numbers saw this one coming. The goals call finished the job: under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (63%) landed.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Fajr Sepasi and 0.33 for Sanat Naft.

Fajr Sepasi vs Sanat Naft Result & Final Score

Fajr Sepasi 0-1 Sanat Naft in the Iran - Azadegan League on 19/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Fajr Sepasi vs Sanat Naft Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Fajr Sepasi win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Fajr Sepasi 46%, draw 27%, Sanat Naft 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Fajr Sepasi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fajr Sepasi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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