Mes Shahr-e Babak FC 0-1 Saipa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 19 Feb 2025

📅19/02/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
33%
2.83
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.41
Over 2.5
34%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.29
No
65%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
1.87
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
15%
6.44
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
-0.6pp
33%
Draw
32%
+0.9pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.2pp
66%
Under 2.5
67%
-1.0pp
34%
Over 2.5
33%
+1.0pp
35%
BTTS Yes
40%
-4.1pp
65%
BTTS No
60%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mes Shahr-e Babak FC EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Saipa EU Bookmakers 33%
+8% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
0.92/0.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.05
-16% / +100% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
325 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mes Shahr-e Babak FC
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Saipa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
04.10.2024 Saipa Saipa 1-2 HT 0-1 Mes Shahr-e Babak FC Mes Shahr-e Babak FC IRANAZ
06.04.2024 Mes Shahr-e Babak FC Mes Shahr-e Babak FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Saipa Saipa IRANAZ
27.10.2023 Saipa Saipa 0-0 HT 0-0 Mes Shahr-e Babak FC Mes Shahr-e Babak FC IRANAZ
25.02.2023 Saipa Saipa 1-0 HT 1-0 Mes Shahr-e Babak FC Mes Shahr-e Babak FC IRANAZ
28.09.2022 Mes Shahr-e Babak FC Mes Shahr-e Babak FC 0-0 HT 1-0 Saipa Saipa IRANAZ
30.03.2022 Saipa Saipa 0-2 HT 0-1 Mes Shahr-e Babak FC Mes Shahr-e Babak FC IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Mes Shahr-e Babak FC vs Saipa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saipa edged past Mes Shahr-e Babak FC 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 33% / 29% — and on the day Saipa made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (65%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mes Shahr-e Babak FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mes Shahr-e Babak FC and 0.50 for Saipa.

What was the final score of Mes Shahr-e Babak FC vs Saipa?

Mes Shahr-e Babak FC 0-1 Saipa in the Iran - Azadegan League on 19/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mes Shahr-e Babak FC vs Saipa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mes Shahr-e Babak FC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Mes Shahr-e Babak FC 38%, draw 33%, Saipa 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Mes Shahr-e Babak FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mes Shahr-e Babak FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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