Sanat Naft 1-0 Fajr Sepasi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 3 Oct 2024

📅03/10/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.08
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
39%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.45
Over 2.5
35%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.19
No
55%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2.1
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
13%
6.1
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
29%
-1.4pp
33%
Draw
30%
+2.8pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-1.4pp
65%
Under 2.5
65%
-0.1pp
35%
Over 2.5
35%
+0.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.5pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sanat Naft EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Fajr Sepasi EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +58% / +35%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
252 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 443 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sanat Naft
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Fajr Sepasi
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
18.02.2022 Fajr Sepasi Fajr Sepasi 0-0 HT 0-0 Sanat Naft Sanat Naft IRAN
30.10.2021 Sanat Naft Sanat Naft 0-2 HT 0-1 Fajr Sepasi Fajr Sepasi IRAN
POST-MATCH Sanat Naft vs Fajr Sepasi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanat Naft nicked a narrow win over Fajr Sepasi 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 27% / 33% / 39% — and on the day Sanat Naft made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Fajr Sepasi led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Sanat Naft and 1.00 for Fajr Sepasi.

What was the final score of Sanat Naft vs Fajr Sepasi?

Sanat Naft 1-0 Fajr Sepasi in the Iran - Azadegan League on 03/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sanat Naft vs Fajr Sepasi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fajr Sepasi win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sanat Naft 27%, draw 33%, Fajr Sepasi 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Fajr Sepasi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fajr Sepasi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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