Shahrdari Astara 0-1 Naft Bandar Abbas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 3 Oct 2024

📅03/10/2024 · 🕒17:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.48
Over 2.5
42%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.13
No
60%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2.15
2-3 Goals
35%
1.81
4-5 Goals
15%
5.84
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
41%
+1.7pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.8pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-0.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
64%
-5.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
36%
+5.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.2pp
60%
BTTS No
57%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shahrdari Astara EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Naft Bandar Abbas EU Bookmakers 32%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-1% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
312 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Shahrdari Astara vs Naft Bandar Abbas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naft Bandar Abbas nicked a narrow win over Shahrdari Astara 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Shahrdari Astara at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Shahrdari Astara vs Naft Bandar Abbas?

Shahrdari Astara 0-1 Naft Bandar Abbas in the Iran - Azadegan League on 03/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shahrdari Astara vs Naft Bandar Abbas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shahrdari Astara win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Shahrdari Astara 43%, draw 29%, Naft Bandar Abbas 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Shahrdari Astara) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shahrdari Astara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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