Naft Gachsaran 1-0 Naft Masjed Soleyman — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 3 Oct 2024

📅03/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.86
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.38
Over 2.5
35%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.51
No
59%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
1.95
2-3 Goals
42%
1.86
4-5 Goals
12%
6.95
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
24%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
50%
-5.0pp
31%
Draw
31%
+0.0pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+4.9pp
65%
Under 2.5
69%
-3.8pp
35%
Over 2.5
31%
+3.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
36%
+5.7pp
59%
BTTS No
64%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naft Gachsaran EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Naft Masjed Soleyman EU Bookmakers 22%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
0.80/0.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/0.89
-42% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +64% / +36%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
349 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naft Gachsaran
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Naft Masjed Soleyman
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
16.05.2024 Naft Gachsaran 1-1 Naft Masjed Soleyman Naft Masjed Soleyman IRANAZ
28.11.2023 Naft Masjed Soleyman Naft Masjed Soleyman 3-1 HT 1-0 Naft Gachsaran IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Naft Gachsaran vs Naft Masjed Soleyman
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naft Gachsaran squeezed past Naft Masjed Soleyman 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Naft Gachsaran as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Naft Masjed Soleyman led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Naft Gachsaran and 2.00 for Naft Masjed Soleyman.

What was the final score of Naft Gachsaran vs Naft Masjed Soleyman?

Naft Gachsaran 1-0 Naft Masjed Soleyman in the Iran - Azadegan League on 03/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naft Gachsaran vs Naft Masjed Soleyman?

Before kick-off our model rated a Naft Gachsaran win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Naft Gachsaran 45%, draw 31%, Naft Masjed Soleyman 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Naft Gachsaran), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Naft Gachsaran) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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