Paykan Qazvin 1-0 Mes Soongoun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 3 Oct 2024

📅03/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.66
Draw
21%
3.35
Away
14%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.52
Over 2.5
37%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.33
No
62%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
42%
2.28
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
15%
5.38
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.28 — our 42% vs market 37.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
39%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
56%
+8.4pp
21%
Draw
26%
-5.4pp
14%
Away Win
18%
-3.0pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.8pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.8pp
38%
BTTS Yes
39%
-1.2pp
62%
BTTS No
61%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paykan Qazvin EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Mes Soongoun EU Bookmakers 21%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.99/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/1.40
+39% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
325 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Paykan Qazvin vs Mes Soongoun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paykan Qazvin edged past Mes Soongoun 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Paykan Qazvin as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

What was the final score of Paykan Qazvin vs Mes Soongoun?

Paykan Qazvin 1-0 Mes Soongoun in the Iran - Azadegan League on 03/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paykan Qazvin vs Mes Soongoun?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paykan Qazvin win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Paykan Qazvin 65%, draw 21%, Mes Soongoun 14%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paykan Qazvin), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Paykan Qazvin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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