Niger Tornadoes 2-1 Heartland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 19 Feb 2025

📅19/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.53
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
23%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.52
Over 2.5
34%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
2.67
No
67%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
61%
-12.2pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.9pp
24%
Away Win
14%
+9.3pp
66%
Under 2.5
62%
+4.0pp
34%
Over 2.5
38%
-4.0pp
33%
BTTS Yes
33%
-0.7pp
67%
BTTS No
67%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Niger Tornadoes EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Heartland EU Bookmakers 17%
-1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +8%
1.45/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.51
-10% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -6%
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
354 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Niger Tornadoes
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Heartland
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
06.10.2024 Heartland Heartland 2-0 HT 1-0 Niger Tornadoes Niger Tornadoes NIJ
15.06.2024 Heartland Heartland 1-0 HT 1-0 Niger Tornadoes Niger Tornadoes NIJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Niger Tornadoes
2-1
AWAY Heartland
64% Ball Possession 36%
24 Total Shots 4
12 Shots on Target 2
13 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Niger Tornadoes vs Heartland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Niger Tornadoes edged past Heartland 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Niger Tornadoes as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (67%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Niger Tornadoes had 64% of the ball to Heartland's 36%, shots finished 24-4.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Heartland led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Niger Tornadoes and 1.50 for Heartland.

What was the final score of Niger Tornadoes vs Heartland?

Niger Tornadoes 2-1 Heartland in the Nigeria NPFL on 19/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Niger Tornadoes vs Heartland?

Before kick-off our model rated a Niger Tornadoes win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Niger Tornadoes 49%, draw 28%, Heartland 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Niger Tornadoes) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Niger Tornadoes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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