Sunshine Stars 1-1 Kano Pillars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 19 Feb 2025

📅19/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.57
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
24%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.6
No
64%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
60%
-12.3pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.0pp
24%
Away Win
15%
+9.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.6pp
36%
BTTS Yes
34%
+1.6pp
64%
BTTS No
66%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sunshine Stars EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Kano Pillars EU Bookmakers 18%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -4%
1.47/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/1.61
-9% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -12%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
449 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sunshine Stars
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Kano Pillars
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
06.10.2024 Kano Pillars Kano Pillars 2-0 HT 1-0 Sunshine Stars Sunshine Stars NIJ
30.09.2023 Sunshine Stars Sunshine Stars 1-0 HT 1-0 Kano Pillars Kano Pillars NIJ
09.01.2022 Sunshine Stars Sunshine Stars 3-0 HT 0-0 Kano Pillars Kano Pillars NIJ
11.07.2021 Sunshine Stars Sunshine Stars 1-0 HT 0-0 Kano Pillars Kano Pillars NIJ
24.02.2021 Kano Pillars Kano Pillars 1-0 HT 1-0 Sunshine Stars Sunshine Stars NIJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sunshine Stars
1-1
AWAY Kano Pillars
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 2
3 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sunshine Stars vs Kano Pillars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sunshine Stars and Kano Pillars couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Sunshine Stars at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (64%) missed.

On the day, Sunshine Stars had 49% of the ball to Kano Pillars's 51%, shots finished 11-2.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Sunshine Stars had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sunshine Stars and 0.60 for Kano Pillars.

What was the final score of Sunshine Stars vs Kano Pillars?

Sunshine Stars 1-1 Kano Pillars in the Nigeria NPFL on 19/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sunshine Stars vs Kano Pillars?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sunshine Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Sunshine Stars 47%, draw 29%, Kano Pillars 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sunshine Stars), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sunshine Stars) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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