Kano Pillars 2-0 Sunshine Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
16%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.44
Over 2.5
43%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.53
No
50%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
14%
X/1
25%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ BTTS Yes ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
54%
+1.4pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.6pp
16%
Away Win
18%
-2.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
66%
-8.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
34%
+8.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
36%
+14.7pp
50%
BTTS No
64%
-14.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kano Pillars EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Sunshine Stars EU Bookmakers 21%
-7% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
1.24/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.20/1.41
-15% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -68% / -9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
368 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kano Pillars
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Sunshine Stars
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
30.09.2023 Sunshine Stars Sunshine Stars 1-0 HT 1-0 Kano Pillars Kano Pillars NIJ
09.01.2022 Sunshine Stars Sunshine Stars 3-0 HT 0-0 Kano Pillars Kano Pillars NIJ
11.07.2021 Sunshine Stars Sunshine Stars 1-0 HT 0-0 Kano Pillars Kano Pillars NIJ
24.02.2021 Kano Pillars Kano Pillars 1-0 HT 1-0 Sunshine Stars Sunshine Stars NIJ
POST-MATCH Kano Pillars vs Sunshine Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kano Pillars got the better of Sunshine Stars 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kano Pillars as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sunshine Stars led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Kano Pillars and 1.25 for Sunshine Stars.

What was the final score of Kano Pillars vs Sunshine Stars?

Kano Pillars 2-0 Sunshine Stars in the Nigeria NPFL on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kano Pillars vs Sunshine Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kano Pillars win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Kano Pillars 55%, draw 29%, Sunshine Stars 16%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kano Pillars), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kano Pillars) ✓ Under 2.5
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