Kitara 1-1 URA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 19 Feb 2026

Kitara
1-1 HT 1-0
URA
📅19/02/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Uganda - Premier League – 2025/2026

Kitara vs URA Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.66
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
17%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.56
Over 2.5
40%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.27
No
56%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
23%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
56%
+4.9pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.2pp
17%
Away Win
18%
-0.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
60%
-0.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
40%
+0.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.1pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kitara v URA — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kitara EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY URA EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -16%
2.51/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.39/1.44
+62% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / +8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
345 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.1

Kitara vs URA Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kitara
3W-1D-2L
AWAY URA
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.12.2025 URA URA 0-1 HT 0-1 Kitara Kitara UGA
10.09.2025 Kitara Kitara 0-0 HT 0-0 URA URA UGS8
27.08.2025 URA URA 2-1 HT 1-0 Kitara Kitara UGS8
01.03.2025 Kitara Kitara 1-0 HT 1-0 URA URA UGA
01.11.2024 URA URA 2-0 HT 2-0 Kitara Kitara UGA
14.03.2024 Kitara Kitara 3-0 HT 2-0 URA URA UGA
POST-MATCH Kitara vs URA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kitara and URA couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Kitara carried 61% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kitara had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kitara and 0.67 for URA.

What was the final score of Kitara vs URA?

Kitara 1-1 URA in the Uganda - Premier League on 19/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kitara vs URA?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kitara win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Kitara 61%, draw 22%, URA 17%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kitara), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kitara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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