Manchester City (K) 2-0 Chelsea (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League - Women's, 19 Mar 2025

📅19/03/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
3.46
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
38%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.95
Over 2.5
57%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.73
No
43%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.32
2-3 Goals
44%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
3.23
6+ Goals
10%
11.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
3%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
26%
+15.7pp
21%
Draw
26%
-5.0pp
38%
Away Win
49%
-10.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
48%
-5.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
52%
+5.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
54%
+3.3pp
43%
BTTS No
46%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manchester City (K) EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Chelsea (K) EU Bookmakers 53%
+66% / +66% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
2.07/2.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.38/1.28
+59% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +3%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
258 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 80%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
20.0 Crosses 13.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manchester City (K)
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Chelsea (K)
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.26 xG 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
387 Passes 333
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 30
13 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.11.2024 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) 2-0 HT 0-0 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) İNKPL
07.03.2024 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) İNKLK
16.02.2024 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) İNKPL
08.12.2019 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) 2-1 HT 0-0 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) İNKPL
14.04.2019 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) 1-0 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) İNKFAK
10.02.2019 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) 2-2 HT 2-0 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) İNKPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manchester City (K)
2-0
AWAY Chelsea (K)
0.94 xG 0.99
41% Ball Possession 59%
15 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
267 Passes 428
78% Pass Accuracy 87%
18 Box Touches 25
12 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Manchester City (K) vs Chelsea (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester City (K) saw off Chelsea (K) 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 21% / 38% — and on the day Manchester City (K) made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Manchester City (K) had 41% of the ball to Chelsea (K)'s 59%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 0.94 to 0.99.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chelsea (K) led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Manchester City (K) and 1.17 for Chelsea (K).

What was the final score of Manchester City (K) vs Chelsea (K)?

Manchester City (K) 2-0 Chelsea (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 19/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manchester City (K) vs Chelsea (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manchester City (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Manchester City (K) 41%, draw 21%, Chelsea (K) 38%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester City (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Manchester City (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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