NJ Alliance 2-2 Chattanooga Red Wolves — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Open Cup, 19 Mar 2025

📅19/03/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.08
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
46%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.51
Over 2.5
52%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.46
No
46%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
29%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
29%
+1.3pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.1pp
46%
Away Win
47%
-1.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
36%
+11.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
64%
-11.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
64%
-10.7pp
46%
BTTS No
36%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NJ Alliance EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Chattanooga Red Wolves EU Bookmakers 51%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
295 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 437 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME NJ Alliance
2-2
AWAY Chattanooga Red Wolves
0.92 xG 2.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
322 Passes 232
79% Pass Accuracy 71%
24 Box Touches 29
15 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH NJ Alliance vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NJ Alliance and Chattanooga Red Wolves couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Chattanooga Red Wolves at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, NJ Alliance had 55% of the ball to Chattanooga Red Wolves's 45%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 0.92 to 2.33.

What was the final score of NJ Alliance vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?

NJ Alliance 2-2 Chattanooga Red Wolves in the USA - Open Cup on 19/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NJ Alliance vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chattanooga Red Wolves win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split NJ Alliance 30%, draw 24%, Chattanooga Red Wolves 46%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chattanooga Red Wolves) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chattanooga Red Wolves) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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