Sarasota Paradise vs Naples Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sarasota Paradise v Naples — Team-Based Signals
Sarasota Paradise 1-2 Naples — Actual Match Statistics
Naples squeezed past Sarasota Paradise 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Naples as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Sarasota Paradise had 36% of the ball to Naples's 64%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 1.75 to 1.38.
What was the final score of Sarasota Paradise vs Naples?
Sarasota Paradise 1-2 Naples in the USA - Open Cup on 19/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sarasota Paradise vs Naples?
Before kick-off our model rated an Naples win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Sarasota Paradise 21%, draw 26%, Naples 53%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Naples) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.