Rödinghausen 1-0 Fortuna Köln — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 19 Mar 2025

📅19/03/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
38%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.91
Over 2.5
44%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.66
No
53%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
39%
-3.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
38%
Away Win
34%
+3.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.4pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rödinghausen EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortuna Köln EU Bookmakers 38%
+15% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +11%
1.60/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/1.24
+2% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
263 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 220 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rödinghausen
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Fortuna Köln
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.07.2024 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln 2-0 HT 0-0 Rödinghausen Rödinghausen ALMBÖL
25.11.2023 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln 1-3 HT 0-2 Rödinghausen Rödinghausen ALMBÖL
25.03.2023 Rödinghausen Rödinghausen 1-0 HT 0-0 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln ALMBÖL
05.08.2022 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln 0-2 HT 0-2 Rödinghausen Rödinghausen ALMBÖL
17.12.2021 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln 1-0 HT 0-0 Rödinghausen Rödinghausen ALMBÖL
21.08.2021 Rödinghausen Rödinghausen 1-4 HT 0-3 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Rödinghausen vs Fortuna Köln
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rödinghausen nicked a narrow win over Fortuna Köln 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 38% — and on the day Rödinghausen made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Rödinghausen and 1.33 for Fortuna Köln.

What was the final score of Rödinghausen vs Fortuna Köln?

Rödinghausen 1-0 Fortuna Köln in the Germany - Regional League on 19/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rödinghausen vs Fortuna Köln?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fortuna Köln win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Rödinghausen 36%, draw 26%, Fortuna Köln 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Fortuna Köln) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fortuna Köln) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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