St. Pauli II 1-0 Teutonia Hamburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 19 Mar 2025

📅19/03/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.96
Over 2.5
58%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
No
37%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-5.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
30%
+12.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
70%
-12.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Pauli II EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Teutonia Hamburg EU Bookmakers 34%
-8% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +7%
1.37/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.65
-18% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
321 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Pauli II
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Teutonia Hamburg
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.11.2024 Teutonia Hamburg Teutonia Hamburg 1-4 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
14.04.2024 Teutonia Hamburg Teutonia Hamburg 3-3 HT 1-1 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
22.11.2023 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 1-1 HT 0-0 Teutonia Hamburg Teutonia Hamburg ALMBÖL
26.02.2023 Teutonia Hamburg Teutonia Hamburg 0-1 HT 0-0 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
07.09.2022 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 2-0 HT 0-0 Teutonia Hamburg Teutonia Hamburg ALMBÖL
07.11.2021 Teutonia Hamburg Teutonia Hamburg 4-0 HT 3-0 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH St. Pauli II vs Teutonia Hamburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Pauli II nicked a narrow win over Teutonia Hamburg 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and on the day St. Pauli II made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (63%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Pauli II had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for St. Pauli II and 1.50 for Teutonia Hamburg.

What was the final score of St. Pauli II vs Teutonia Hamburg?

St. Pauli II 1-0 Teutonia Hamburg in the Germany - Regional League on 19/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Pauli II vs Teutonia Hamburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Pauli II win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split St. Pauli II 38%, draw 27%, Teutonia Hamburg 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Pauli II) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (St. Pauli II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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