Fortuna Köln 2-0 Rödinghausen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
38%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+0.9pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.1pp
38%
Away Win
34%
+3.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.1pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortuna Köln EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Rödinghausen EU Bookmakers 38%
+4% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +21%
1.14/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.23
-30% / +75% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
330 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortuna Köln
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Rödinghausen
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
62% Ball Possession 38%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.11.2023 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln 1-3 HT 0-2 Rödinghausen Rödinghausen ALMBÖL
25.03.2023 Rödinghausen Rödinghausen 1-0 HT 0-0 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln ALMBÖL
05.08.2022 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln 0-2 HT 0-2 Rödinghausen Rödinghausen ALMBÖL
17.12.2021 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln 1-0 HT 0-0 Rödinghausen Rödinghausen ALMBÖL
21.08.2021 Rödinghausen Rödinghausen 1-4 HT 0-3 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln ALMBÖL
05.06.2021 Rödinghausen Rödinghausen 4-1 HT 2-0 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortuna Köln
2-0
AWAY Rödinghausen
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fortuna Köln vs Rödinghausen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortuna Köln beat Rödinghausen 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 22% / 38%) promised a tight game; Fortuna Köln found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Fortuna Köln had 40% of the ball to Rödinghausen's 60%, shots finished 8-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rödinghausen led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Fortuna Köln and 1.83 for Rödinghausen.

What was the final score of Fortuna Köln vs Rödinghausen?

Fortuna Köln 2-0 Rödinghausen in the Germany - Regional League on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortuna Köln vs Rödinghausen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortuna Köln win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Köln 40%, draw 22%, Rödinghausen 38%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortuna Köln) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fortuna Köln) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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