Atletico Aldosivi 1-1 Gimnasia Y Tiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Cup, 19 Mar 2025

📅19/03/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.33
Draw
24%
2.7
Away
34%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
Over 2.5
43%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.44
No
54%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
25%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
39%
+2.4pp
24%
Draw
34%
-9.4pp
34%
Away Win
27%
+6.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
37%
+9.5pp
54%
BTTS No
63%
-9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Aldosivi EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimnasia Y Tiro EU Bookmakers 31%
-55% / -55% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
-6% / -65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Aldosivi
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Gimnasia Y Tiro
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
25.08.2024 Gimnasia Y Tiro Gimnasia Y Tiro 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Aldosivi Atletico Aldosivi ARJPBN
07.04.2024 Atletico Aldosivi Atletico Aldosivi 2-2 HT 2-1 Gimnasia Y Tiro Gimnasia Y Tiro ARJPBN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Aldosivi
1-1
AWAY Gimnasia Y Tiro
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Corners 0
1 Passes 1
POST-MATCH Atletico Aldosivi vs Gimnasia Y Tiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Aldosivi and Gimnasia Y Tiro couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico Aldosivi at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Atletico Aldosivi had 50% of the ball to Gimnasia Y Tiro's 50%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Gimnasia Y Tiro led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Atletico Aldosivi and 1.50 for Gimnasia Y Tiro.

What was the final score of Atletico Aldosivi vs Gimnasia Y Tiro?

Atletico Aldosivi 1-1 Gimnasia Y Tiro in the Argentina - Cup on 19/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Aldosivi vs Gimnasia Y Tiro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Aldosivi win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Atletico Aldosivi 42%, draw 24%, Gimnasia Y Tiro 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Atletico Aldosivi), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Aldosivi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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