Gimnasia Y Tiro 1-0 Atletico Aldosivi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.53
Draw
25%
2.66
Away
36%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.25
Over 2.5
44%
3.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.75
No
61%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
36%
+2.5pp
25%
Draw
34%
-9.1pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+6.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
76%
-20.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
24%
+20.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
32%
+6.7pp
61%
BTTS No
68%
-6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnasia Y Tiro EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Aldosivi EU Bookmakers 33%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
0.74/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.18
-30% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
281 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnasia Y Tiro
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Atletico Aldosivi
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
07.04.2024 Atletico Aldosivi Atletico Aldosivi 2-2 HT 2-1 Gimnasia Y Tiro Gimnasia Y Tiro ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Atletico Aldosivi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnasia Y Tiro edged past Atletico Aldosivi 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 36%) promised a tight game; Gimnasia Y Tiro found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Atletico Aldosivi?

Gimnasia Y Tiro 1-0 Atletico Aldosivi in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Atletico Aldosivi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnasia Y Tiro win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Gimnasia Y Tiro 39%, draw 25%, Atletico Aldosivi 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimnasia Y Tiro), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gimnasia Y Tiro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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