Atletico Aldosivi 2-2 Gimnasia Y Tiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.02
Draw
38%
2.94
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.38
Over 2.5
29%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.4
No
60%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 71%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Draw Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
46%
-10.0pp
38%
Draw
30%
+7.8pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.2pp
71%
Under 2.5
69%
+2.3pp
29%
Over 2.5
31%
-2.4pp
40%
BTTS Yes
38%
+2.1pp
60%
BTTS No
62%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Aldosivi EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimnasia Y Tiro EU Bookmakers 28%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.24/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/0.67
-3% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +77%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
344 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Atletico Aldosivi vs Gimnasia Y Tiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Aldosivi and Gimnasia Y Tiro couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (35% / 38% / 26%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Atletico Aldosivi vs Gimnasia Y Tiro?

Atletico Aldosivi 2-2 Gimnasia Y Tiro in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Aldosivi vs Gimnasia Y Tiro?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Atletico Aldosivi 35%, draw 38%, Gimnasia Y Tiro 26%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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