Spartak Varna 1-5 Ludogorets Razgrad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 19 Mar 2026

Spartak Varna
1 - 5 HT 0 - 1
Ludogorets Razgrad
📅19/03/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 0-4 ✗
Bulgaria - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Spartak Varna vs Ludogorets Razgrad Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
7%
7.78
Draw
14%
4.95
Away Pick
79%
1.3
Under/Over 2.5
Under
40%
2.21
Over
60%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.05
No
53%
1.69
Total Goals
0-1
19%
2-3
45%
4-5
28%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
3%
X/2
24%
X/X
8%
2/1
1%
2/2
51%
2/X
3%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Spartak Varna v Ludogorets Razgrad — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Spartak Varna The Market 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad The Market 77%
Strong Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
0.88 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 2.26
2.10 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.44
Great Attack Strength Great
Weak Defense Strength Great
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
198 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 499 · 86%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2 Yellow Cards 2

Spartak Varna vs Ludogorets Razgrad Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Varna
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.10.2025 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 1-1 HT 0-1 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna BUL1
19.04.2025 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 2-1 HT 1-0 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna BUL1
10.11.2024 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna 1-3 HT 1-1 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
04.04.2023 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 2-1 HT 1-1 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna BULK

Spartak Varna 1-5 Ludogorets Razgrad — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Varna
1 - 5
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad
34% Ball Possession 66%
6 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Spartak Varna vs Ludogorets Razgrad
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Ludogorets Razgrad dismantled Spartak Varna 5-1 on their travels. Half-time: 0-1. With 6 goals, entertainment was never the problem.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Ludogorets Razgrad as the likeliest winner at 79%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

By the numbers, Spartak Varna had 34% of the ball to Ludogorets Razgrad's 66%, shots finished 6-15.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ludogorets Razgrad led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Spartak Varna and 2.00 for Ludogorets Razgrad.

Spartak Varna vs Ludogorets Razgrad Result & Final Score

Spartak Varna 1 - 5 Ludogorets Razgrad in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 19/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Spartak Varna vs Ludogorets Razgrad Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Ludogorets Razgrad win the most likely single outcome at about 79%, with the full match-result split Spartak Varna 7%, draw 14%, Ludogorets Razgrad 79%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →