Club America vs Philadelphia Union Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Club America v Philadelphia Union — Team-Based Signals
Club America vs Philadelphia Union Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-0
Club America
CON
2-0
HT 1-0
Philadelphia Union
CON
Club America 1-1 Philadelphia Union — Actual Match Statistics
Club America and Philadelphia Union shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Club America at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Club America had 57% of the ball to Philadelphia Union's 43%, shots finished 8-7, expected goals 0.81 to 1.42.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Club America had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Club America and 0.00 for Philadelphia Union.
What was the final score of Club America vs Philadelphia Union?
Club America 1-1 Philadelphia Union in the CONCACAF Champions League on 19/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Club America vs Philadelphia Union?
Before kick-off our model rated a Club America win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Club America 54%, draw 24%, Philadelphia Union 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Club America), Over 2.5 went the other way.