Toluca vs San Diego Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Toluca v San Diego — Team-Based Signals
Toluca vs San Diego Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
Toluca 4-0 San Diego — Actual Match Statistics
Toluca ran out comfortable winners over San Diego 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Toluca as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (63%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.
On the day, Toluca had 56% of the ball to San Diego's 44%, shots finished 27-5, expected goals 4.43 to 0.50.
What was the final score of Toluca vs San Diego?
Toluca 4-0 San Diego in the CONCACAF Champions League on 19/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Toluca vs San Diego?
Before kick-off our model rated a Toluca win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Toluca 64%, draw 16%, San Diego 20%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Toluca), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.