Sion 1-0 Stade Nyonnais — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 19 Apr 2024

📅19/04/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.45
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.23
Over 2.5
49%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
4.59
2-3 Goals
37%
1.9
4-5 Goals
23%
2.87
6+ Goals
9%
8.18
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.59 — our 31% vs market 16.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
65%
-8.7pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.6pp
22%
Away Win
15%
+7.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.7pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sion EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Nyonnais EU Bookmakers 18%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.66/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.88
-6% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
356 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
23.4 Crosses 19.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sion
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Stade Nyonnais
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.23 xG 1.11
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
319 Passes 362
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 10
14 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2024 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 0-4 HT 0-1 Sion Sion İSV2
12.12.2023 Sion Sion 1-1 HT 0-0 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais İSV2
25.08.2023 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 1-2 HT 0-1 Sion Sion İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sion
1-0
AWAY Stade Nyonnais
2.37 xG 0.21
54% Ball Possession 46%
31 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 0
18 Corners 1
341 Passes 290
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
35 Box Touches 5
43 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Sion vs Stade Nyonnais
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sion squeezed past Stade Nyonnais 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sion as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Sion had 54% of the ball to Stade Nyonnais's 46%, shots finished 31-5, expected goals 2.37 to 0.21 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Sion's control.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sion had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Sion and 0.67 for Stade Nyonnais.

What was the final score of Sion vs Stade Nyonnais?

Sion 1-0 Stade Nyonnais in the Switzerland Challenge League on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sion vs Stade Nyonnais?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sion win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Sion 56%, draw 22%, Stade Nyonnais 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sion), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sion) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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