Bellinzona vs Baden Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bellinzona v Baden — Team-Based Signals
Bellinzona vs Baden Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-1
Baden
İSV2
1-1
HT 1-1
Bellinzona
İSV2
Bellinzona 4-0 Baden — Actual Match Statistics
Bellinzona ran out comfortable winners over Baden 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bellinzona as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Bellinzona had 48% of the ball to Baden's 52%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 2.03 to 0.46.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Bellinzona and 1.33 for Baden.
What was the final score of Bellinzona vs Baden?
Bellinzona 4-0 Baden in the Switzerland Challenge League on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bellinzona vs Baden?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bellinzona win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Bellinzona 42%, draw 32%, Baden 27%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bellinzona), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.