Airdrieonians 0-1 Greenock Morton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.9
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.95
Over 2.5
54%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.36
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.27
6+ Goals
13%
12.0
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.27 — our 25% vs market 24.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.67
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.55
X/1
14%
4.67
X/2
13%
7.65
X/X
10%
5.05
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
23.75
2/2
11%
5.68
2/X
5%
14.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.75 — our 8% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
48%
-0.5pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.8pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.9pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Airdrieonians EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Greenock Morton EU Bookmakers 30%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -4%
1.66/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.18
-1% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +29%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
353 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
Crosses 8.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Airdrieonians
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Greenock Morton
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
3 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
3 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
15.02.2025 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 2-2 HT 1-1 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İKCL
14.12.2024 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 2-2 HT 1-2 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
21.09.2024 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 2-0 HT 1-0 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İKCL
06.04.2024 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 3-1 HT 2-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
24.02.2024 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 2-1 HT 2-0 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İKCL
23.12.2023 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 0-0 HT 0-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
POST-MATCH Airdrieonians vs Greenock Morton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greenock Morton squeezed past Airdrieonians 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Airdrieonians at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Greenock Morton led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Airdrieonians and 1.50 for Greenock Morton.

What was the final score of Airdrieonians vs Greenock Morton?

Airdrieonians 0-1 Greenock Morton in the Scotland - Championship on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Airdrieonians vs Greenock Morton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Airdrieonians win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Airdrieonians 48%, draw 23%, Greenock Morton 29%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Airdrieonians) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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