Falkirk 1-3 Raith Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 19 Apr 2025

Falkirk
1-3 HT 1-0
Raith Rovers
📅19/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Scotland - Championship – 2024/2025

Falkirk vs Raith Rovers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.49
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.71
Over 2.5
51%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.19
No
55%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.72
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
3.95
6+ Goals
8%
18.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1.89
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
17.8
X/1 EV+ ✗
27%
3.78
X/2
8%
12.85
X/X
12%
5.03
2/1
7%
27.0
2/2
9%
11.9
2/X
4%
20.7
Value flag · X/1 at 3.78 — our 27% vs market 21.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
63%
-7.9pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.5pp
22%
Away Win
15%
+7.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
55%
-5.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
45%
+5.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.6pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Falkirk v Raith Rovers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Falkirk EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Raith Rovers EU Bookmakers 18%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -14%
2.13/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/1.80
+14% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / -2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
218 · 91% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 137 · 86%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
8.0 Crosses 13.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Falkirk vs Raith Rovers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Falkirk
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Raith Rovers
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
4 Crosses 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.01.2025 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 0-2 HT 0-1 Falkirk Falkirk İKCL
19.01.2025 Falkirk Falkirk 1-2 HT 0-0 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKK
07.12.2024 Falkirk Falkirk 3-0 HT 1-0 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
28.09.2024 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 1-0 HT 1-0 Falkirk Falkirk İKCL
27.11.2021 Falkirk Falkirk 1-2 HT 0-1 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKK
03.03.2020 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 1-1 HT 0-0 Falkirk Falkirk İK1
POST-MATCH Falkirk vs Raith Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Raith Rovers got the better of Falkirk 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Falkirk carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Raith Rovers led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Falkirk and 1.00 for Raith Rovers.

What was the final score of Falkirk vs Raith Rovers?

Falkirk 1-3 Raith Rovers in the Scotland - Championship on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Falkirk vs Raith Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Falkirk win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Falkirk 55%, draw 23%, Raith Rovers 22%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Falkirk), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Falkirk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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