Örgryte 3-0 Örebro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.76
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.95
Over 2.5
54%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.73
No
44%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.43
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.22
6+ Goals
13%
11.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.38
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
35.0
1/X
8%
13.85
X/1
11%
4.44
X/2
11%
8.72
X/X
12%
5.2
2/1
9%
22.9
2/2
7%
6.71
2/X
8%
15.15
Value flag · 1/2 at 35.0 — our 9% vs market 1.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-7.5pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.1pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+4.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
54%
+2.0pp
44%
BTTS No
46%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Örgryte EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Örebro EU Bookmakers 26%
-3% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -17%
1.51/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.64
-9% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
369 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Örgryte
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Örebro
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
12.08.2024 Örgryte Örgryte 3-1 HT 2-0 Örebro Örebro İSÇ2
20.07.2024 Örebro Örebro 0-0 HT 0-0 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
01.09.2023 Örgryte Örgryte 0-3 HT 0-2 Örebro Örebro İSÇ2
16.05.2023 Örebro Örebro 0-0 HT 0-0 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
08.08.2022 Örebro Örebro 0-1 HT 0-1 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
05.07.2022 Örgryte Örgryte 2-0 HT 1-0 Örebro Örebro İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Örgryte
3-0
AWAY Örebro
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 23
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Örgryte vs Örebro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Örgryte ran out comfortable winners over Örebro 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Örgryte as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Örgryte had 43% of the ball to Örebro's 57%, shots finished 15-23.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Örgryte had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Örgryte and 0.67 for Örebro.

What was the final score of Örgryte vs Örebro?

Örgryte 3-0 Örebro in the Sweden - Superettan on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Örgryte vs Örebro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Örgryte win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Örgryte 45%, draw 28%, Örebro 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Örgryte), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Örgryte) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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