Melilla 3-2 Mostoles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
34%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.68
Over 2.5
49%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
50%
-9.8pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
34%
Away Win
23%
+11.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.7pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melilla EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Mostoles EU Bookmakers 26%
-8% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +0%
1.11/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.35
-20% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
323 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melilla
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Mostoles
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
08.12.2024 Mostoles 0-1 HT 0-0 Melilla Melilla İS4
POST-MATCH Melilla vs Mostoles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melilla edged past Mostoles 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; Melilla found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of Melilla vs Mostoles?

Melilla 3-2 Mostoles in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melilla vs Mostoles?

Before kick-off our model rated a Melilla win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Melilla 40%, draw 26%, Mostoles 34%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melilla), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Melilla) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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